[파이썬] statsmodels Kaplan-Meier 추정량

In survival analysis, Kaplan-Meier estimation is a non-parametric method used to estimate the survival function. It is widely used to analyze time-to-event data, such as customer churn, medical survival rates, and product failure rates.

In this blog post, we will explore how to perform Kaplan-Meier estimation using the statsmodels library in Python.

Installing statsmodels

Before we dive into the code, let’s make sure we have the statsmodels library installed. If you don’t have it already, you can install it using pip:

pip install statsmodels

Alternatively, you can install it via conda:

conda install statsmodels

Importing the Required Libraries

Once we have statsmodels installed, we can import the required libraries:

import statsmodels.api as sm
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt

Loading the Data

To illustrate the Kaplan-Meier estimation, let’s assume we have a dataset saved in a CSV file named survival_data.csv, which contains two columns: time (time to event) and event (indicator of event occurrence, binary variable).

We can load the data using pandas:

import pandas as pd

data = pd.read_csv('survival_data.csv')

Performing Kaplan-Meier Estimation

To calculate the Kaplan-Meier estimate, we first need to create a SurvivalData object. The SurvivalData object takes two arguments: the time array and the event array.

time = data['time']
event = data['event']
survival_data = sm.SurvivalData(time, event)

Next, we can use the KaplanMeier function from statsmodels to perform the estimation:

km_estimator = sm.KaplanMeier(survival_data)

Visualizing the Kaplan-Meier Curve

Finally, we can plot the Kaplan-Meier curve using matplotlib:

km_estimator.plot()
plt.xlabel('Time')
plt.ylabel('Survival Probability')
plt.title('Kaplan-Meier Estimation')
plt.show()

Conclusion

In this blog post, we have explored how to perform Kaplan-Meier estimation using the statsmodels library in Python. The Kaplan-Meier estimate is a powerful tool for analyzing time-to-event data and can provide valuable insights into survival probabilities.

Remember, survival analysis can be influenced by various factors, and it is always essential to consider the context and interpret the results accordingly.

By mastering the Kaplan-Meier estimation, you can gain a better understanding of survival analysis and make informed decisions based on your data.